It looks like Android will be destined only for cheap, inferior phones for the masses after all. Only 8% of Android users are even on the latest Android 4.2, which was released almost a year ago, so putting expensive 64-bit processors and a new 64-bit Android OS on new Android phones wouldn’t even be worth it since so few Android users even bother getting Android upgrades and the phones are already mostly $100 junk. Why put an expensive 64-bit chip into a $100 phone? What’s the point of 64-bit on typical sub-$200 Android phones for the poor masses around the world? What’s the point of 64-bit when only 8% of Android users have upgraded so far to 1-year old Android 4.2? At that rate, it’ll take 12 years for Android 4.2 to reach the 93% penetration iOS 6 enjoyed before iOS 7 came out. What’s the point of 64-bit when most Android users wont’t ever use or see it and are content with old 32-bit versions of Android for at least the next decade?
Meanwhile, Android OEMs are universally profitless, including Samsung on its low to mid range phones. Chinese Android OEMs are undercutting Samsung massively in China on its profitable high-end phones and soon around the world. Without profits, the whole Android OEM base and thus ecosystem collapses, just like the declining profitless Windows PC industry today despite huge 80-90% profitless market share and 1 billion activations. Commoditized Android OEMs lack the profits to invest in R&D and can’t keep up with Apple on 64-bit chips/OS/apps, fingerprint sensors that work, etc. Which take billions and put the power of a desktop computer in the palm of your hand. App developers flee Android because they don’t want to be the last person on the Titanic, just like they flee the PC app market today swimming in red ink. Android’s typical customer doesn’t even have enough money to buy a data plan and apps, unlike Apple’s customer who has the discretionary income to buy data plans and apps BEYOND the initial smartphone purchase. Android’s also too fragmented and insecure to get adopted by the enterprise, whereas Apples’s wall-garden approach of uniformity and security lend itself to quick adoption by corporate IT via BYOD and Windows-like network effects. Android is left with the bottom 80% consumer around the world, who doesn’t even buy data plans or apps and for whom his Android phone is nothing more than a newfangled feature phone with a touchscreen.